MLB 2024 Season Bold Predictions

by Andrew Tucci | Mar 5, 2024 | General | 0 comments

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Spring Training has just gotten underway in the MLB and all the teams final rosters are looking to be finalized before the season begins. There were many major things that happened this last offseason in the MLB and it has changed the course of the league for years to come.

Often before every season, you always see that publishers and writers are coming out with their own predictions for what is to come in this new season. I’ve decided that I wanted to come up with 3 of my own boldest predictions I have for the upcoming season.

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1. The defending champs will finish behind the Astros

The Texas Rangers are expected to win “only” 86 games, which is not shocking since they had a lot of success in winning 90 games the last season. They have also lost Mitch Garver, Aroldis Chapman, and Jordan Montgomery thus far this winter, and Corey Seager may be limited by injuries. The thing that is surprising is the fact I have them finishing behind the Astros in the division this year. Their lineup appears to be extremely strong, especially with rookie outfielders Evan Carter and Wyatt Langford expected to play a major role in the season. Additionally, as the season progresses, the team should see the return of some of the greatest starting pitchers in history due to injuries in Jacob Degrom and Max Scherzer.

However, the Rangers lost Chapman and perhaps overused José Leclerc during the playoff run last season, and the Astros strengthened their already strong bullpen with the addition of Josh Hader. On FanGraphs, the Rangers relievers are ranked 24th. Although bullpens are an easy location to either underperform or overperform, having an elite and serviceable bullpen could be the difference between a division win or
division loss. For me, the difference in the two team’s’ bullpens will be the difference this year.

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2. Mets and Yankees both make the playoffs

This second prediction may surprise a lot of people. I have both of New York’s teams getting into the postseason. I am predicting that the Yankees win their division with around 95 wins and the Mets just make the WildCard game with around 85 wins.

I will start with the Mets because this is more shocking for them than it is for the Yankees. They traded away Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander, are coming off a 75-win season, and were unable to sign Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Shohei Ohtani, or any other big free agent this winter. Nevertheless, PECOTA’s projections for 2024 indicate that the Mets will win roughly 85 games, which would be enough to advance them into the postseason as the final Wild Card team, trailing only the D-backs and Phillies. You would have to envision a number of factors going back in the Mets favor for that to happen. As always, Brandon Nimmo, Francisco Lindor, and Pete Alonso are the mainstays of the lineup. Moving forward, Francisco Alvarez and Brett Baty have to take the next steps in their sophomore year. You also have to see improvement in Jeff McNeil and hope he can return to the race for the batting title. Another key thing for the Mets is Kodai Senga remaining a Cy Young type pitcher and their elite closer Edwin Diaz returning and performing like his old self.

In an attempt to improve upon their 2023 fourth-place result, the Yankees acquired Juan Soto along with Alex Verdugo, Trent Grisham, and Marcus Stroman. It may come as a surprise that they are predicted to win the stacked AL East by a margin of six games over the Blue Jays, seven over the Orioles, and eight over the Rays, but it is not difficult to envision a club led by Gerrit Cole, Aaron Judge, and Soto in the postseason. Nevertheless, it will mark the fifth time since 2000 that both New York clubs have appeared in the postseason if the Yanks and Mets get to the postseason in 2024.

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3. The Rays take a huge step backwards

Every single year it always seems like the Rays are just not going to be that good, but every year they seem to prove me wrong. I don’t know what it is about them, but to me they just don’t seem like they have many pieces in order to make them a contending team, but year in and year out they just always find a way to win games. I think the Tampa Bay Rays will eventually collapse in 2024. I’m talking about having fewer than 78 wins and finishing early in September, not barely missing the playoffs.

The rotation raises my main concern in this prediction. There isn’t much depth there. Zach Eflin is a great player at the top and adding Ryan Pepiot was also a nice move. However, Shane McClanahan, Drew Rasmussen, and Jeffrey Springs are all expected to miss the start of the 2024 season, and Shane Baz is out for the entire year. In terms of offensive play, Wander Franco’s absence from the Rays is nearly certain for the upcoming season, and there have also been rumors of a Randy Arozarena trade. I don’t think the Rays have much of an offensive punch if you take away those two bats. They’ll be playing in a loaded AL East for years to come, with the Jays, Yankees, and O’s all very much in the running, which doesn’t help their chances. At the end of the day, I think their pitching injuries and lack of many offensive weapons will cost them this year and they will finally take that huge step backwards.

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I’m currently 21 years old and I am living in a small town on Long Island. I am in the process of studying Sports Management at St. Johns University and looking to break out in the sports industry. My whole life I have been surrounded by sports whether it’s watching them or even playing them. I have a true passion for sports, especially baseball, and I am trying to one day get an opportunity to fulfill my dream of working for the MLB. Every small step helps in the process of making my dream come true, so I’d appreciate the support in helping me do so!


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