3 Predictions for the 2024 Mets and Yankees

by John Pagnotta | Mar 29, 2024 | General | 0 comments

Photo Credit: nypost.com
With the baseball season officially underway, the Mets and Yankees have entered the 2024 season with polar opposite expectations. The Yankees are in a win-now, WS-or-bust approach after a mediocre performance last year, as they signed SP Marcus Stroman to bolster the rotation, and traded for Alex Verdugo, Trent Grisham, and superstar Juan Soto to strengthen an already scary lineup. Add in a more mobile and lean Giancarlo Stanton, a returning Aaron Judge (who hit 37 HR in 106 games last season), a solid bullpen, and a farm system that is beginning to take notice (Spencer Jones, Chase Hampton, Austin Wells, and Everson Pereira). Potential rebounds from Carlos Rodon, Nestor Cortes, Anthony Rizzo, and the development of SS Anthony Volpe can lead the Yanks to prove that 2023 was an outlier. In Queens, the Mets are taking more of a transitional approach this season to look ahead towards 2025-26. Pete Alonso is entering his final year before free agency, so resigning him should be the Mets’ #1 priority in the offseason. The Mets have a potentially solid bullpen with the return of the trumpets in Edwin Diaz, a lineup that is bolstered by the recent signing of J.D. Martinez, and a very low-risk, high-reward rotation in Sean Manaea, Luis Severino, Adrian Houser, Tylor Megill, and Jose Quintana while Senga is injured. Star catcher Francisco Alvarez should improve in his second year (his defense looked outstanding in ST), and rebounds from Starling Marte, Brett Baty, and Jeff McNeil are very realistic. In addition, they have many prospects who can make an impact as early as this year in Luisangel Acuna, Mike Vasil, Dominic Hamel, Jose Butto, Drew Gilbert, and Christian Scott. Both NY teams both have big injuries so far to their aces, and it will impact the Yankees heading into the summer. With that being said, here are 3 predictions for each team during the 2024 season…
Photo Credit: breakingt.com

Mets #1. Baty and Alvarez take big steps, Vientos gets traded

The chances of Mark Vientos staying with the Mets has dwindled with each moment over the last year, but it may have reached its lowest point after the signing of J.D. Martinez. Vientos has shown throughout his MLB career that he can’t play much (if any) defense, he has no clear position on a baseball field, and he has serious power, but his plate discipline needs lots of work. He also had a power-or-bust spring, as he hit .232/.259/.536 with 5 HR, 9 RBI, and 19 SO in 56 AB. Martinez is expected to take around 10-14 days to ramp up ABs to get ready for the season, which could’ve been a signal of the Mets keeping Vientos for those 10 days. However, he still didn’t make the team, and it looks like D.J Stewart will be the primary DH for the Mets until Martinez gets called up. The Mets will eventually dump Vientos at the trade deadline for some rotation help. On the other hand, Brett Baty will be the starting 3B for the Mets to start the season, as he will be evaluated by David Stearns. Baty has also struggled badly to begin his career, as he hit .212 with 9 HR and 34 RBI with a 29:109 BB/K in 2 stints with the Mets. In addition, he has made some several bone-headed throws and plays in the hot corner, which has not sat well with Mets fans. However, the young 3B showed some promise in ST, hitting .245/.333/.434 with 3 HR, 7 RBI, and a 6:11 BB/K ratio in 19 games. Baty showed a lot more confidence at the plate and with his glove, which will transition into the regular season. The other young player on the Amazins is the rising star Francisco Alvarez. Alvarez was solid last season (25 HR, 63 RBI), but went through several slumps and only hit .209 on the season. This year, Alvy will take a massive step with his glove and his bat, as already shown in ST (8 runners thrown out, 3 HR, 9 RBI, .777 OPS). Baty will stay as the primary 3B this season, hitting around .250 with 19 HR and 65 RBI, while Alvarez will explode for his first 30 HR season, a Silver Slugger, and much improved defense behind the plate.

Yankees #1. Stanton explodes to begin the season, returns to the IL, Rizzo/LeMahieu bounce back

The new Giancarlo Stanton has shown massive promise in Spring Training, as he hit 3 HR in one game (!) alone and has looked dangerous. Stanton will have a monster start to the season, hitting over 15 HR by the end of May alone, but he will have his classic injury issues. Whether it’s a pulled groin, hamstring, or any injury that he hasn’t dealt with yet, Stanton will miss over 30 games and return to his favorite place in NY: the injury list. In the midst of his injury, Anthony Rizzo and D.J. LeMahieu will bounce back as they will be fully healthy for the first time since 2022. Rizzo began 2023 with lightning, as he was one of the HR leaders in the AL before his collision in late May. However, his skills vastly diminished as he attempted to play through a concussion before being ruled out in the summer. Expect a year closer to 2022 (.230-.240 AVG, 25-30 HR, 80 RBI) for Rizzo, as he returns to his dangerous form in the Bronx. For LeMahieu, it has been a struggle the past 2 seasons after his dominant first 2 seasons with the Yanks. This has been a result of his toe injury that has led to worse fielding, a few slumps, and swing mechanics that caused him to severely struggle in the first half of 2023. However, hitting coach Sean Casey opened LeMahieu up, as he hit .273 with 8 HR, 9 doubles, a higher walk rate, and a .800 OPS. LeMahieu won’t ever compete for a batting title at this stage in his career, but he will bounce back in a big way with a .280 AVG, 15 HR, and solid fielding around the diamond with a fully healthy toe.

Mets/Yanks #2. Mets keep Alonso at deadline, Yanks trade for Shane Bieber

There has been talks of the Mets trading Alonso at the deadline to bolster their farm system, and then trying to re-sign him in the offseason. However, heading into the deadline, the Mets will be in the hunt for the 3rd WC spot, sitting about 4 games over .500 with no clear position of buying or selling. This will lead the front office to keep Alonso for the remainder of the season, who is on his way to another 45+ HR season, and try to lock down a playoff spot. In the Bronx, the Yanks will be in a better spot than the Mets, led by the duo of Juan Soto and Aaron Judge. However, there will be 1 glaring weakness on the Yanks: the rotation. With ace Gerrit Cole being out until June/July, the rotation will have its ups and downs as the season goes on. Rodon will look better (not great), but good enough, and Stroman/Schmidt will be solid starters for the Yanks as Cole recovers from his injury. However, Nestor Cortes’ struggles will continue, and this will lead Brian Cashman to make another trade at the deadline. Enter Shane Bieber. Bieber will be on a mediocre Guardians team, and he is heading into his FA year, which is the perfect chance for the Yanks to bolster their rotation. Imagine a rotation with Cole, Bieber, Stroman, Rodon, and Schmidt in a 5 game series. Not terrible, right?

Mets #3. Clinch 3rd WC spot, get eliminated in NLDS

David Stearns’ one goal was to make the Mets competitive in a transitional year, and he did exactly that. The Mets will make the playoffs with a 83-79 record, barely beating out the Marlins and a young Reds team for the 3rd WC spot. In the WC Series, the Mets will beat the D-Backs in 3 games in a surprising upset, and travel to LA to face Shohei Ohtani, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman. Citi Field will get to experience a win from the underdog, but the Dodgers will be too much for the Mets to overcome as they will eliminate them in 5 games. The Mets will enjoy big seasons from Francisco Lindor, J.D. Martinez, Pete Alonso Kodai Senga, and an electrifying return from Edwin Diaz. Heading into the offseason, Steve Cohen has many options in a loaded FA class, including the potential departure of the Polar Bear.

Yankees #3. Clinch 1st WC spot, get eliminated in ALCS

Sorry Yankees fans, but the WS drought will sadly continue into 2025. Juan Soto and Aaron Judge combining for over 80 HR, 200 RBI, and both receiving MVP votes will push the Yanks to a 92 win season and a matchup against the Blue Jays in the WC series. In addition, Volpe’s second 20-20 season and a solid rotation will give the Yankees some security. A returning Gerrit Cole will help the Bronx take care of Vlad Jr and Toronto in a 2 game sweep, leading to another playoff series vs the Houston Astros. History won’t repeat itself as the Yankees will finally beat Houston in 5 games, led by the emergence of Anthony Volpe and Giancarlo Stanton in the ALDS. The one thing stopping the Yanks from a World Series appearance is the 103 win Baltimore Orioles. The O’s will take care of the Yankees in 6 games, sending the Bronx Bomber fans home unhappy and giving the O’s their first AL pennant in 41 years! Cashman will have his hands full, as Gerrit Cole can opt out of his current contract with the Yanks, and Juan Soto will become a FA for the first time in his young career.

Photo: bleedingyankeeblue.com
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My name is John Pagnotta and I live in Queens, NY. I am a sophomore at Monsignor McClancy Memorial High School. I am a huge fan of the Jets, Mets, Islanders, and Knicks. I started following sports when I was around 7 years old and I have not lost love for it ever since!

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